0xbd8ec4b03c05eeea99e6d3217a370a3bc3b8bf62
0xbd8ec4b03c05eeea99e6d3217a370a3bc3b8bf62
- Realised P&L
- $137.73
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $536.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.530 | 1.000 | $495.71 | +$232.85 |
| UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Wang Cong | 0.352 | 0.355 | $30.51 | +$0.22 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.185 | $6.35 | −$0.65 |
| UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card) · Esteban Ribovics | 0.680 | 0.655 | $3.86 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.97at 0.487Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
- +$18.90at 0.576Titans vs. Giants
- +$13.17at 0.673UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
- +$11.87at 0.396UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$11.49at 0.495Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:35 | Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:35 | Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $261.86 |
| 10-03 03:32 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:32 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:22 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:22 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:15 | Spread: Penn State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $8.97 |
| 10-02 22:59 | Spread: Liberty (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5499999731 | $4.09 |
| 10-02 22:59 | Spread: Liberty (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5499999479 | $2.11 |
| 10-02 20:17 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:16 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:15 | Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.32 |
| 10-02 16:50 | UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6799999367 | $3.01 |
| 10-02 16:30 | UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:40 | Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699999473 | $2.14 |