PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PUPSWOR

0xbd8afddec5d23879afa7763db9cae0770fa49bf9

Realised P&L
$-272.82
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$354.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3280.995$354.01+$237.18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yes0.5720.000$0.00$168.51
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No0.6850.000$0.00$70.00
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? · No0.5730.000$0.00$60.00
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$4.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January? · No0.5290.000$0.00$165.84
Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden? · Yes0.6880.000$0.00$89.49
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$74.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 03:24Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3282012707$116.83
08-12 14:32Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?BUY0.6876946201$89.49
07-14 22:16Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6849052803$70.00
06-24 05:26US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999974$74.00
06-24 05:26US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?BUY0.680516167$69.00
06-03 06:50Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?BUY0.052935048$4.00
06-03 06:50Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?BUY0.1809523748$20.00
06-03 06:49Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?BUY0.5727033997$60.00
05-18 13:29No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7224458211$150.00
04-19 02:38Nothing Ever Happens: AprilBUY0.7373994377$105.00
04-05 15:00DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?BUY0.6888491033$145.11
03-07 08:51Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?BUY0.5724113261$168.51
01-11 14:26Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?BUY0.5292022391$165.84
12-26 23:27Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.8689999982$61.67
12-26 07:35Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?SELL0.13$5.44