PUPSWOR
0xbd8afddec5d23879afa7763db9cae0770fa49bf9
- Realised P&L
- $-272.82
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $354.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.995 | $354.01 | +$237.18 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yes | 0.572 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.51 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.685 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? · No | 0.573 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January? · No | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.84 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.49 |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.55at 0.689DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
- +$39.98at 0.732No one announced as next James Bond?
- +$37.39at 0.737Nothing Ever Happens: April
- +$32.39at 0.680US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
- +$26.50at 0.500Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 03:24 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3282012707 | $116.83 |
| 08-12 14:32 | Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden? | BUY | 0.6876946201 | $89.49 |
| 07-14 22:16 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6849052803 | $70.00 |
| 06-24 05:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $74.00 |
| 06-24 05:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.680516167 | $69.00 |
| 06-03 06:50 | Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | BUY | 0.052935048 | $4.00 |
| 06-03 06:50 | Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | BUY | 0.1809523748 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 06:49 | Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? | BUY | 0.5727033997 | $60.00 |
| 05-18 13:29 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7224458211 | $150.00 |
| 04-19 02:38 | Nothing Ever Happens: April | BUY | 0.7373994377 | $105.00 |
| 04-05 15:00 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | BUY | 0.6888491033 | $145.11 |
| 03-07 08:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | BUY | 0.5724113261 | $168.51 |
| 01-11 14:26 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January? | BUY | 0.5292022391 | $165.84 |
| 12-26 23:27 | Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.8689999982 | $61.67 |
| 12-26 07:35 | Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.44 |