PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ns139

0xbd87c160c223b93a2466ee012ef75c6569aa6bf9

Realised P&L
$-7.5k
Volume
$397.8k
Markets traded
751
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded751
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2050.205$400.75+$0.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1500.155$310.00+$10.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.2900.275$189.66−$10.34
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.265$158.95+$8.95
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · No0.1800.170$75.56−$4.44
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.143$65.46+$15.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Solana Up or Down - September 6, 12PM ET · Down0.0470.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.0910.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.0210.000$0.00−$2.28
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.0890.000$0.00−$28.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.0330.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9AM ET · Down0.0140.000$0.00−$1.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.1060.000$0.00−$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.02$0.44
10-14 21:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.4899999993$27.68
10-14 21:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.0090425724$1.00
10-14 21:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.61$10.39
10-14 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.64$10.90
10-14 21:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.69$11.43
10-14 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.5299999915$8.78
10-14 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSELL0.78$18.87
10-14 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.6199999942$15.00
10-14 21:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.39$26.60
10-14 21:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.2399999977$16.37
10-14 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-14 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.66$18.48
10-14 21:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.5$14.00
10-14 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.67$15.24