PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x58BCDb478B6E1464BcbAE6819dB57F0060b3D2B6-1776013864411

0xbd828a7efd8ddfbc3a4e4c3186824f668de67e3c

Realised P&L
$-237.60
Volume
$60.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$26.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.3600.145$26.55−$39.37
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$406.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 07:01Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?BUY0.36$65.93
07-15 03:09Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.225$1.08
07-15 03:08Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.225$114.05
07-15 02:59Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.225$90.00
07-14 09:44France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.405$86.05
07-04 12:51Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$2.81
07-04 12:49Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$404.10
06-21 08:24Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.058$1.16
06-15 04:26Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.045$96.45
06-14 19:18Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$31.89
06-14 19:15Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)BUY0.0913116739$450.00
06-14 19:05Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5SELL0.99$0.16
06-14 19:04Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5SELL0.99$495.00
06-14 16:34Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5BUY0.0921096038$46.07
06-14 16:29Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.049$49.00