0x58BCDb478B6E1464BcbAE6819dB57F0060b3D2B6-1776013864411
0xbd828a7efd8ddfbc3a4e4c3186824f668de67e3c
- Realised P&L
- $-237.60
- Volume
- $60.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $26.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.145 | $26.55 | −$39.37 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$406.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$447.69at 0.095Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5
- +$297.00at 0.547Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$123.86at 0.417France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$-213.08at 0.234Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.36 | $65.93 |
| 07-15 03:09 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.225 | $1.08 |
| 07-15 03:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.225 | $114.05 |
| 07-15 02:59 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.225 | $90.00 |
| 07-14 09:44 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.405 | $86.05 |
| 07-04 12:51 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.81 |
| 07-04 12:49 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $404.10 |
| 06-21 08:24 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.16 |
| 06-15 04:26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.045 | $96.45 |
| 06-14 19:18 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $31.89 |
| 06-14 19:15 | Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0913116739 | $450.00 |
| 06-14 19:05 | Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $0.16 |
| 06-14 19:04 | Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 06-14 16:34 | Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.0921096038 | $46.07 |
| 06-14 16:29 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.049 | $49.00 |