RexPrivatan
0xbd7f6c84c0d45ecae64bd66bbdc87e6da0624500
- Realised P&L
- $-261.34
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $115.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.305 | $68.63 | −$3.38 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $11.98 | +$0.52 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.008 | $10.83 | +$0.00 |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.040 | $10.27 | −$0.39 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $7.15 | −$0.55 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $6.43 | −$0.91 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$990.36at 0.201Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$312.14at 0.765U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
- +$77.75at 0.364Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$55.35at 0.890Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$34.04at 0.784Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:56 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.83 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 21:52 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.42 |
| 11-01 21:48 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.70 |
| 11-01 21:42 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.83 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.46 |
| 11-01 21:31 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.041 | $10.66 |
| 10-28 19:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $72.00 |
| 10-16 08:10 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | SELL | 0.661393466 | $949.28 |
| 10-16 07:09 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | SELL | 0.68 | $164.56 |
| 10-16 07:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | SELL | 0.7 | $44.64 |
| 10-15 20:37 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $69.60 |
| 10-15 20:35 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.68 | $688.84 |
| 10-15 11:17 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.68 | $495.07 |
| 08-25 07:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.38 | $485.10 |