PolyBot

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Traders

JamesAltucher

0xbd7db3725a0fa1589dd76519dc08a983555b4d56

Realised P&L
$51.8k
Volume
$8.60M
Markets traded
321
Open portfolio
$264.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded321
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$153.00−$461.04
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$51.00−$563.04
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$51.00−$563.04
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$9.00−$112.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 14:29Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$90.00
10-12 14:28Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$108.00
10-12 14:26Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$10.00
08-20 20:17Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$18.00
08-20 20:17Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.012$216.00
08-20 20:17Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$36.00
08-20 20:17Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$18.00
08-20 20:16Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$18.00
08-20 20:16Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$18.00
08-20 20:15Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$102.00
08-20 20:14Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$0.29
08-20 20:14Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$8.98
07-26 18:42Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$36.00
07-26 18:42Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$18.00
07-26 18:42Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$18.00