JamesAltucher
0xbd7db3725a0fa1589dd76519dc08a983555b4d56
- Realised P&L
- $51.8k
- Volume
- $8.60M
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $264.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $153.00 | −$461.04 |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $51.00 | −$563.04 |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $51.00 | −$563.04 |
| Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $9.00 | −$112.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.0kat 0.007Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$8.9kat 0.090Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.1kat 0.005Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.8kat 0.005Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.1kat 0.005Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:29 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $90.00 |
| 10-12 14:28 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $108.00 |
| 10-12 14:26 | Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 20:17 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $18.00 |
| 08-20 20:17 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.012 | $216.00 |
| 08-20 20:17 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $36.00 |
| 08-20 20:17 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $18.00 |
| 08-20 20:16 | Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $18.00 |
| 08-20 20:16 | Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $18.00 |
| 08-20 20:15 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $102.00 |
| 08-20 20:14 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 08-20 20:14 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.98 |
| 07-26 18:42 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $36.00 |
| 07-26 18:42 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $18.00 |
| 07-26 18:42 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $18.00 |