0xbd7c4e7bcc456a2e3a28260fd8dad02c97ff271d
0xbd7c4e7bcc456a2e3a28260fd8dad02c97ff271d
- Realised P&L
- $2.06
- Volume
- $249.04
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 17? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.070 | $0.17 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.48at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.329Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.65at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.37at 0.394Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:32 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 15:03 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:49 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:37 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:28 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:30 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:22 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:31 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:30 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:44 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |