giaobi
0xbd7b4870387552f8c609fc8dd61f5575de4820cc
- Realised P&L
- $-307.13
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $60.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.828 | 0.841 | $60.53 | +$0.91 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.24at 0.220Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$104.65at 0.430Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
- +$57.81at 0.508South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$42.81at 0.141Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$31.88at 0.270LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.834 | $29.19 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.823 | $30.43 |
| 09-15 08:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 06-24 01:33 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.975771 | $39.03 |
| 06-15 07:32 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 06-15 07:32 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 10:37 | Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 10:30 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 06-01 12:08 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.771 | $23.13 |
| 05-08 03:43 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 05-08 03:42 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 05-08 03:42 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 05-08 03:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 05-08 03:41 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.522 | $10.44 |
| 05-08 03:40 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |