0xbd77689d8058d71d18662757a4e78b5d9c84d233
- Realised P&L
- $5.73
- Volume
- $37.54
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $10.55
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.440 | 1.000 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.995 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.840 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.895 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.750 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · No | 0.230 | 0.225 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.620 | 0.585 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.335 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.460 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$0.55at 0.649SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?
- +$0.41at 0.710US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.38at 0.728Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:16 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:06 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:00 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:55 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:54 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:52 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 13:59 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:40 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 10:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:16 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |