0xbd77689d8058d71d18662757a4e78b5d9c84d233
0xbd77689d8058d71d18662757a4e78b5d9c84d233
- Realised P&L
- $6.85
- Volume
- $239.97
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $3.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.895 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.790 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.175 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.420 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.330Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 01:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:14 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:11 | Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 07:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 23:09 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:47 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 06:36 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 17:18 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 23:23 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 13:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:41 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 19:37 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |