tyimgcn
0xbd771f9051fdd7565f4662f37064060f4f2a4cbd
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $43.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) · Packers | 0.480 | 0.455 | $2.3k | −$124.93 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.970 | $11.64 | +$1.44 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.30 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.52 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.63 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.83 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.50 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Chicago Cubs | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.27 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.59 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22? · Yes | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$415.39 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.39 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers · Kansas City Royals | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.03 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8? · No | 0.964 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.420Bengals vs. Texans
- +$794.44at 0.610Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
- +$222.09at 0.860Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$203.47at 0.377Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
- +$184.45at 0.337Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:51 | Spread: Packers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.4k |
| 09-20 15:14 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.42 | $1.0k |
| 08-05 06:19 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.61 | $38.04 |
| 07-02 06:36 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $82.40 |
| 06-25 03:00 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $88.30 |
| 06-20 01:42 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.33 | $91.76 |
| 06-12 03:06 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.36 | $104.64 |
| 06-03 03:09 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.37 | $103.63 |
| 05-28 05:42 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.41 | $123.59 |
| 05-20 03:54 | Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.37 | $120.84 |
| 05-15 02:54 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $141.20 |
| 04-29 03:56 | Magic vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.23 | $103.52 |
| 04-22 06:52 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? | BUY | 0.34 | $59.06 |
| 04-22 06:51 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22? | BUY | 0.48 | $97.85 |
| 04-17 06:52 | Hornets vs. Magic | BUY | 0.41 | $111.92 |