0xbd744e7b7d293688e91e9e25c4347f43b678730c
- Realised P&L
- $21.97
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $43.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.08at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?
- +$8.85at 0.087Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?
- +$5.98at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5?
- +$5.65at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?
- +$4.81at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.03 |
| 08-07 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 08-07 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0023168 | $0.70 |
| 08-07 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.038 | $2.31 |
| 08-07 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.63 |
| 08-07 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.97 |
| 08-07 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.20 |
| 08-07 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.75 |
| 08-07 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.17 |
| 08-07 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.62 |
| 08-07 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.09 |
| 08-07 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.03 |
| 08-07 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.71 |
| 08-07 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5899999819 | $4.88 |
| 08-07 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6299999679 | $4.90 |