0xbd744e7b7d293688e91e9e25c4347f43b678730c
0xbd744e7b7d293688e91e9e25c4347f43b678730c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.01
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $138.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.725 | 1.000 | $67.29 | +$18.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.669 | 1.000 | $37.89 | +$12.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.664 | 1.000 | $32.77 | +$10.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$33.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$15.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.25at 0.705Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?
- +$24.95at 0.636Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12?
- +$24.76at 0.793Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 24?
- +$19.82at 0.614Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17?
- +$18.85at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-25 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.484496124 | $3.12 |
| 09-25 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-25 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7149951315 | $7.34 |
| 09-25 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.67 |
| 09-25 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.41 |
| 09-25 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.41 |
| 09-25 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.41 |
| 09-25 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.41 |
| 09-25 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.41 |