shroudvader
0xbd7387cc09d32bd8f7644be95e7b20a2de6b2e72
- Realised P&L
- $238.85
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,374
- Open portfolio
- $70.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,374
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.46at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11?
- +$10.41at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 20?
- +$9.88at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24?
- +$9.14at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 11?
- +$8.71at 0.906Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.90 |
| 10-01 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 10-01 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $70.29 |
| 09-30 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.90 |
| 09-30 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $88.91 |
| 09-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.90 |
| 09-30 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-30 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-30 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $88.11 |
| 09-30 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $102.30 |
| 09-30 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9763792227 | $99.99 |
| 09-30 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9699999927 | $99.99 |
| 09-30 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.91 |
| 09-30 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9899009903 | $99.99 |
| 09-30 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $101.60 |