0xbd71233ab7a25bc420929cd67476219762f31281
0xbd71233ab7a25bc420929cd67476219762f31281
- Realised P&L
- $967.16
- Volume
- $223.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,115
- Open portfolio
- $90.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,115
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.59at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 21?
- +$93.03at 0.493Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 15?
- +$92.66at 0.463Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
- +$82.41at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?
- +$80.86at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.83 |
| 10-15 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.31 |
| 10-15 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $25.71 |
| 10-15 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.15 |
| 10-15 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.66 |
| 10-15 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.46 |
| 10-15 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.48 |
| 10-15 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.44 |
| 10-15 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 10-15 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.0318564121 | $1.74 |
| 10-15 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0578968816 | $3.03 |
| 10-15 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.256875 | $8.22 |
| 10-15 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0448702959 | $2.46 |
| 10-15 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.0026491363 | $0.07 |
| 10-15 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.25 |