0xbd71233ab7a25bc420929cd67476219762f31281
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $154.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,235
- Open portfolio
- $5.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,235
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.310 | 1.000 | $2.19 | +$1.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.040 | $1.74 | −$2.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.007 | $0.49 | −$7.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.015 | $0.23 | −$1.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.51at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
- +$86.21at 0.558Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?
- +$84.86at 0.117Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?
- +$77.03at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?
- +$76.24at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.08 |
| 08-09 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.7 | $42.46 |
| 08-09 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.54 | $32.35 |
| 08-09 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 08-09 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.52 | $7.80 |
| 08-09 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.081 | $0.03 |
| 08-09 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 08-09 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | SELL | 0.07063593 | $0.89 |
| 08-09 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.23 |
| 08-09 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8799999783 | $1.62 |
| 08-09 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.95 |
| 08-09 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.04 |
| 08-09 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.15418706 | $4.60 |
| 08-09 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0433778078 | $2.57 |
| 08-09 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.8563091483 | $10.86 |