PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

balyd

0xbd5da14cb16107c316506071049fe2015da76ace

Realised P&L
$310.97
Volume
$46.5k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$739.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9550.975$292.35+$5.85
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5000.585$203.58+$29.58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.415$144.42−$29.58
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? · No0.9900.984$78.72−$0.48
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in September? · No0.9400.997$19.93+$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 06:42Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$79.20
09-28 01:39Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.998$289.42
09-19 02:59Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.979$135.10
09-19 02:58Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?SELL0.965$20.27
09-17 10:20Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.94$47.00
09-17 10:18Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.99$49.50
09-17 10:10Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?BUY0.92$19.32
09-17 10:03Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in September?BUY0.94$18.79
09-04 09:11Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.99$111.87
09-04 07:50Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.92$27.60
08-29 09:32Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.988$395.20
08-29 09:31Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.955$286.50
08-29 09:18Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.89$26.70
08-06 11:02Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.934$65.38
07-31 14:16Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 1?BUY0.996$20.92