PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

vfssdfx

0xbd549040ca22105e10dca2899d1ac16ddbff2bd4

Realised P&L
$129.93
Volume
$25.2k
Markets traded
1,387
Open portfolio
$141.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,387
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? · No0.6350.570$22.80−$2.60
Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? · No0.6600.465$18.60−$7.80
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? · Yes0.4200.435$17.40+$0.60
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000? · No0.6200.715$14.30+$1.90
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election? · Yes0.6400.655$13.10+$0.30
Will Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · No0.7000.595$11.90−$2.10
Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · No0.5900.540$10.80−$1.00
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election? · No0.5200.420$8.40−$2.00
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.360$7.20−$2.80
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.4800.355$7.10−$2.50
Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.4400.290$5.80−$3.00
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election? · Yes0.3030.224$4.48−$1.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 14:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.64$10.45
10-14 13:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.6699999971$25.00
10-14 13:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.6199999945$25.00
10-14 13:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.7318240584$25.00
10-14 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.6099999934$25.00
10-14 12:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.6599999979$25.00
10-14 10:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.5742574226$25.00
10-14 09:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5952380952$25.00
10-14 09:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.579999994$25.00
10-14 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.6040441237$25.00
10-14 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.589999991$25.00
10-14 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.5499999934$25.00
10-14 07:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.5699999918$25.00
10-14 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.744047619$25.00
10-14 07:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.6699999911$3.00