Kutra
0xbd4962f3e11700f524a563c334beea1349380d55
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $377.5k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $458.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 1.000 | $405.25 | +$81.05 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.045 | $53.23 | −$438.16 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$512.23 |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.58 |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.37 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$444.61 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$335.40 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$274.65 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.162Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$2.3kat 0.377Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?
- +$1.7kat 0.448Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.430Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.328Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 05:10 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3977537421 | $134.95 |
| 05-19 05:09 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL | 0.13 | $142.02 |
| 05-18 00:40 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.413 | $165.20 |
| 05-18 00:36 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.46 | $202.40 |
| 05-18 00:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | SELL | 0.3 | $8.37 |
| 04-18 05:29 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 04-18 05:28 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $105.00 |
| 04-18 05:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3 | $111.42 |
| 04-18 05:24 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $111.42 |
| 04-18 05:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.30 |
| 04-15 04:14 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $91.14 |
| 04-13 05:03 | Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 03-30 02:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $468.00 |
| 03-28 20:12 | Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $35.00 |
| 03-27 14:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2596105833 | $200.00 |