PolyBot

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Traders

Kutra

0xbd4962f3e11700f524a563c334beea1349380d55

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$377.5k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$458.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8001.000$405.25+$81.05
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.045$53.23$438.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$200.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.4530.000$0.00$512.23
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$35.00
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$121.58
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$31.37
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$444.61
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No0.4070.000$0.00$335.40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$274.65
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 05:10Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.3977537421$134.95
05-19 05:09Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?SELL0.13$142.02
05-18 00:40Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.413$165.20
05-18 00:36Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL0.46$202.40
05-18 00:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.3$8.37
04-18 05:29Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.08$80.00
04-18 05:28Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$105.00
04-18 05:25Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.3$111.42
04-18 05:24Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$111.42
04-18 05:22Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.19$5.30
04-15 04:14Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.42$91.14
04-13 05:03Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?BUY0.06$30.00
03-30 02:18US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.26$468.00
03-28 20:12Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?BUY0.05$35.00
03-27 14:22Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2596105833$200.00