PolyBot

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Traders

0xBD494Eb349b6cF0A32d50236c408b0Ed306c3096-1775126144707

0xbd494eb349b6cf0a32d50236c408b0ed306c3096

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$164.9k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$304.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Team Spirit0.3100.305$304.99−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.7950.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion0.0920.000$0.00−$23.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner · Pipsqueak+40.3150.000$0.00−$126.00
Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A · Stariy Bog Club0.0200.000$0.00−$0.02
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · PlayTime0.4400.000$0.00−$132.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Natus Vincere0.1600.000$0.00−$9.38
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner · Team Falcons0.3110.000$0.00−$129.76
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Pibbles Corp0.0290.000$0.00−$155.30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner · Team Resilience0.0530.000$0.00−$16.00
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Pipsqueak+40.0660.000$0.00−$146.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$0.95
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner · Team Nemesis0.0560.000$0.00−$391.32
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs · Nigma Galaxy0.1030.000$0.00−$13.67
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A · Virtus.pro0.1580.000$0.00−$36.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 16:02Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.1466663333$44.00
10-10 15:55Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.464188$232.09
10-10 15:20Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSELL0.13$1.36
10-09 17:32Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSELL0.76$53.96
10-08 18:06Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.01$1.99
10-08 18:02Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.12$24.00
09-30 10:23Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CBUY0.04$0.20
09-30 07:08Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CBUY0.06$0.00
09-21 17:07Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0235129588$9.68
09-21 05:35Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.043812381$3.68
09-21 05:33Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.04$13.11
09-20 16:43Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2$13.60
09-20 16:42Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2$52.14
09-20 16:27Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.01$1.00
09-20 16:27Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.008$0.78