kristinasutton
0xbd408daf77e4c66a876a34095bce02d5b6037cf1
- Realised P&L
- $89.87
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $23.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina · Appalachian State | 0.520 | 0.525 | $13.62 | +$0.13 |
| W100 Edmond, OK: Elvina Kalieva vs Savannah Broadus · Elvina Kalieva | 0.700 | 0.715 | $9.60 | +$0.20 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.24at 0.270Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$27.39at 0.330Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$5.95at 0.750Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- +$2.46at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.832Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:14 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.8259999962 | $8.36 |
| 01-31 14:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.30 |
| 01-30 16:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.14 |
| 01-30 16:04 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.47 |
| 01-30 14:23 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.09 |
| 01-30 13:03 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $46.34 |
| 12-30 11:44 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.18 |
| 12-30 11:14 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.05 |
| 12-30 10:51 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.69 |
| 12-30 08:32 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999905 | $27.63 |
| 12-29 22:09 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999569 | $13.41 |
| 12-29 21:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.76 |
| 12-29 20:25 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.62 |
| 10-30 21:32 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9909999997 | $31.38 |
| 10-30 20:52 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.94 |