0xbd3F8F21345d84B865FEEd7A48D260E9c9Aed12d-1777384504159
0xbd3f8f21345d84b865feed7a48d260e9c9aed12d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $138.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $390.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.507 | 0.495 | $390.24 | −$9.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? · Down | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$519.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$582.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? · Down | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$549.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? · Up | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$212.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$531.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? · Down | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$393.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? · Down | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$197.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28? · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? · Down | 0.489 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6? · Up | 0.507 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$941.94at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- +$785.55at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?
- +$773.16at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?
- +$618.57at 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?
- +$585.55at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.05 | $149.92 |
| 09-13 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.16 |
| 09-12 01:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BUY | 0.1046044756 | $147.67 |
| 09-10 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $96.15 |
| 09-10 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $98.03 |
| 09-10 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.495378 | $198.15 |
| 09-10 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $244.57 |
| 09-10 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.49 | $32.66 |
| 09-10 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.48 | $21.47 |
| 09-10 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.47 | $101.30 |
| 09-10 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 09-09 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.5 | $682.00 |
| 09-09 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $96.15 |
| 09-09 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $98.03 |
| 09-09 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.497119 | $198.85 |