PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBD3d538183d71a8F283e743f60B04C3C571B742F-1717360027506

0xbd3d538183d71a8f283e743f60b04c3c571b742f

Realised P&L
$-36.5k
Volume
$411.6k
Markets traded
285
Open portfolio
$923.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded285
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6600.705$246.75+$15.75
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.029$245.83+$195.83
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · Yes0.1620.165$147.26+$2.43
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.004$90.17−$477.21
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3500.295$88.50−$16.50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.3600.175$52.50−$55.50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.105$52.50−$197.50
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$21.09
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli0.1800.000$0.00−$19.86
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$19.71
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$34.42
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$38.92
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$13.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$62.71
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$86.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 21:04Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
09-29 21:02Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?BUY0.19$24.49
09-29 21:01Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?BUY0.12$4.53
09-24 14:54Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$105.00
09-18 21:26Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?SELL0.6926852569$742.48
08-23 12:44Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.2599999966$50.00
08-23 12:42Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
07-14 20:46Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$90.00
06-07 12:15Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.1799999931$19.86
05-30 13:30Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4599999999$1000.00
05-24 15:52Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.05$18.80
05-24 15:51Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.05$6.75
05-17 16:10Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.29$76.09
05-11 22:13Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.35$23.58
05-11 22:10Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3658238852$500.00