0xBD3d538183d71a8F283e743f60B04C3C571B742F-1717360027506
0xbd3d538183d71a8f283e743f60b04c3c571b742f
- Realised P&L
- $-36.5k
- Volume
- $411.6k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $923.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.504Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.5kat 0.290Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$1.9kat 0.100Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?
- +$1.8kat 0.220Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?
- +$1.6kat 0.515No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 21:04 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 21:02 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $24.49 |
| 09-29 21:01 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.53 |
| 09-24 14:54 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $105.00 |
| 09-18 21:26 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | SELL | 0.6926852569 | $742.48 |
| 08-23 12:44 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 12:42 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $90.00 |
| 06-07 12:15 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.1799999931 | $19.86 |
| 05-30 13:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 05-24 15:52 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.05 | $18.80 |
| 05-24 15:51 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.05 | $6.75 |
| 05-17 16:10 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $76.09 |
| 05-11 22:13 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $23.58 |
| 05-11 22:10 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3658238852 | $500.00 |