PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBD3d538183d71a8F283e743f60B04C3C571B742F-1717360027506

0xbd3d538183d71a8f283e743f60b04c3c571b742f

Realised P&L
$-36.9k
Volume
$415.8k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · No0.5340.780$836.08+$263.23
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.004$90.17$477.21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.100$50.00$200.00
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.005$45.83$4.17
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$21.09
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli0.1800.000$0.00$19.86
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$19.71
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$34.42
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$38.92
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$13.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$62.71
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00$86.10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$37.20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 12:44Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.2599999966$50.00
08-23 12:42Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
07-14 20:46Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$90.00
06-07 12:15Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.1799999931$19.86
05-30 13:30Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4599999999$1000.00
05-24 15:52Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.05$18.80
05-24 15:51Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.05$6.75
05-17 16:10Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.29$76.09
05-11 22:13Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.35$23.58
05-11 22:10Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3658238852$500.00
05-11 22:08US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.5331756635$266.58
05-10 21:44Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.5720304072$742.34
05-10 21:44Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.3181463547$877.78
03-04 19:42Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.11$43.75
03-01 19:06Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$379.52