AsalyamAlekum
0xbd3cd581c336ccdf77daa275a1e0e494f27347a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $188.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.958 | $56.62 | −$0.56 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.971 | $54.31 | +$0.45 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.972 | $41.73 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.984 | 0.976 | $36.30 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.38at 0.950Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$1.25at 0.975Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.56at 0.979Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
- +$0.45at 0.968Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$0.36at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?