ClemWine
0xbd3591d116a3a3b5d81a3dc08fccf8ea064eeb6d
- Realised P&L
- $-84.14
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $315.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.125 | $251.40 | −$4.66 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.486 | 0.405 | $64.21 | −$12.86 |
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.35at 0.884Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:15 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $92.19 |
| 08-28 18:02 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4861233758 | $77.07 |
| 08-28 18:02 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $69.66 |
| 08-28 18:01 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.88 | $71.28 |
| 08-28 17:59 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 08-13 06:30 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999988 | $92.13 |
| 08-13 06:20 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999931 | $15.90 |
| 06-21 15:31 | Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.098062055 | $15.00 |
| 06-21 15:30 | Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1463414579 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 15:29 | Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2247191011 | $30.00 |
| 06-21 14:56 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999977 | $40.84 |