MAO1234
0xbd2596e13481bc5f9b5ddfb94e998fcea0f56c12
- Realised P&L
- $-47.57
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $19.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.90at 0.501Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$10.90at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.28at 0.656Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$6.08at 0.535Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.65at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 17:37 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.116 | $1.32 |
| 07-18 17:35 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 07-18 17:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.275 | $2.06 |
| 07-18 17:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.52 |
| 07-18 17:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.401 | $6.97 |
| 07-11 06:07 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 06:04 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 06:03 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 06:03 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7489998959 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 06:02 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8359996873 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 06:02 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9149999908 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 06:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 05:54 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.407 | $2.13 |
| 07-11 05:53 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 05:52 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.144 | $2.16 |