PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

marketsnember

0xbd23c760a6302150fe8e9d9db2668ea561a6259d

Realised P&L
$406.86
Volume
$52.8k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? · No0.9930.992$297.60−$0.30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9640.963$192.60−$0.20
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · No0.9920.991$118.85−$0.18
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? · No0.8800.966$95.58+$8.46
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9600.955$95.50−$0.50
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9720.970$91.38−$0.24
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.9350.915$73.24−$1.60
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.9350.949$47.45+$0.70
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? · No0.9670.959$38.36−$0.32
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026? · No0.9900.983$6.50−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 03:18Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.964$192.80
10-08 03:16Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?BUY0.992$119.03
10-08 03:15Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.96$96.00
10-08 03:10Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?BUY0.993$297.90
10-08 03:09Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.972$91.61
10-08 03:08Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$6.54
10-08 03:04Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?BUY0.935$46.75
10-08 03:04Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?BUY0.88$87.12
10-08 03:03Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?BUY0.967$38.68
10-08 03:03Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.936$37.44
10-08 03:03Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.935$37.40
09-20 06:55Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.995$746.25
09-20 06:53Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.972$48.60
09-07 02:55Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?BUY0.977$29.31
09-07 02:54Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?BUY0.967$9.67