0xbd213dcb8f0c29ccc595425da22905eb35f182ec
0xbd213dcb8f0c29ccc595425da22905eb35f182ec
- Realised P&L
- $-6.87
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.110 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.105 | $0.87 | −$1.13 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.035 | $0.23 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.06at 0.170US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.87at 0.127Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
- +$5.45at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.13at 0.390Will Trump say "Kennedy" this week? (March 15)
- +$2.85at 0.260Government shutdown on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:38 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? | BUY | 0.2069999015 | $1.33 |
| 08-01 14:38 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:37 | Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:37 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:36 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 21:07 | Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31? | BUY | 0.0239999901 | $2.32 |
| 03-21 21:03 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.88 |
| 03-19 23:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0309999967 | $9.00 |
| 03-19 23:31 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 03-19 22:59 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 22:50 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $15.00 |
| 03-10 21:36 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Kentucky visit? | BUY | 0.3609755296 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 21:34 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.3179999366 | $3.00 |
| 03-10 21:33 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.1189999 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 21:32 | Will Trump say "Kennedy" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |