PolyBot

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Traders

0xbd213dcb8f0c29ccc595425da22905eb35f182ec

0xbd213dcb8f0c29ccc595425da22905eb35f182ec

Realised P&L
$-6.87
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$2.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.110$0.92−$0.08
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2400.105$0.87−$1.13
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.0800.045$0.56−$0.44
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? · Yes0.2070.035$0.23−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:38U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?BUY0.2069999015$1.33
08-01 14:38Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-01 14:37Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-01 14:37Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.08$1.00
08-01 14:36Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
03-21 21:07Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?BUY0.0239999901$2.32
03-21 21:03Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.15$1.88
03-19 23:32Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0309999967$9.00
03-19 23:31Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.15$3.00
03-19 22:59Netanyahu out by April 30?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
03-19 22:50Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.02$15.00
03-10 21:36Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Kentucky visit?BUY0.3609755296$2.00
03-10 21:34Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.3179999366$3.00
03-10 21:33Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?BUY0.1189999$1.00
03-10 21:32Will Trump say "Kennedy" this week? (March 15)BUY0.3899998908$2.00