mgnlv
0xbd1e74bda5fe7708c68cb7aa5847fb1e8f0eff14
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 1,122
- Open portfolio
- $248.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,122
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Red Wings · Kraken | 0.440 | 0.425 | $179.78 | −$6.34 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames · Avalanche | 0.690 | 0.685 | $68.50 | −$0.50 |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Team Yandex | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$599.99 |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Team Falcons | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$580.00 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs · FURIA | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$494.50 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.676 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.00 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.50 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A · Natus Vincere | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.70 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.40 |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.08 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.598Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.6kat 0.430Golden Knights vs. Kings
- +$2.5kat 0.430Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
- +$2.3kat 0.476Sharks vs. Flames
- +$2.3kat 0.502Bruins vs. Kraken
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 03:07 | Kraken vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.44 | $186.12 |
| 10-08 03:02 | Avalanche vs. Flames | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 10-02 16:26 | Devils vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $218.00 |
| 09-30 16:20 | Kings vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.6499999966 | $56.90 |
| 09-30 16:16 | Panthers vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.4199999997 | $251.00 |
| 09-30 16:10 | Kings vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.6499999966 | $56.60 |
| 09-16 11:30 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.8899999997 | $239.40 |
| 09-15 13:44 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.6899999977 | $79.00 |
| 09-11 05:04 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $451.00 |
| 09-11 05:01 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | BUY | 0.5499999949 | $43.50 |
| 08-29 09:48 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.6299999965 | $59.00 |
| 08-26 13:34 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | BUY | 0.8 | $14.70 |
| 08-26 13:30 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.6599999984 | $67.50 |
| 08-18 09:59 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.6599999977 | $69.40 |
| 08-08 09:51 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.6599999991 | $74.50 |