Pancake.
0xbd17f7240930aac0344bcad2a984391c42adfd7f
- Realised P&L
- $-93.64
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $15.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.015 | $15.65 | −$212.22 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? · No | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.37at 0.270US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$125.24at 0.641Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.89at 0.517Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 00:48 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 10:54 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.22 | $110.00 |
| 05-11 10:27 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.2099999953 | $33.64 |
| 04-09 10:36 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.0645192292 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 20:00 | Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7599999995 | $133.10 |
| 04-07 19:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 19:55 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |