0xBD0e7Ffe17ED85b38bd7Dd08044d4B15C70c3beA-1767808857759
0xbd0e7ffe17ed85b38bd7dd08044d4b15c70c3bea
- Realised P&L
- $-29.23
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $50.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.69at 0.567Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5
- +$90.81at 0.667France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5
- +$74.77at 0.667Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$69.39at 0.577United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5
- +$68.07at 0.567Spread: Canada (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:58 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.05 |
| 11-01 08:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 08:17 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 08:12 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.12 |
| 11-01 04:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.22 |
| 11-01 04:50 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.05 |
| 10-31 15:03 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.8499999853 | $5.80 |
| 10-31 15:01 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.75 |
| 10-31 06:17 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 06:16 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $5.09 |
| 10-31 05:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2028 elections? | BUY | 0.5999999772 | $5.26 |
| 10-31 05:21 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 05:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.94 | $3.03 |
| 10-31 05:19 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.09 |
| 10-31 05:18 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.16 |