0xBd0B6e6FBD4bdA31dd9C3Be7d8e8062a7a4E53D2-1786456497455
0xbd0b6e6fbd4bda31dd9c3be7d8e8062a7a4e53d2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.47
- Volume
- $40.00
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.115 | $0.57 | −$0.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 26? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 26? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 17? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.70at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-25 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 26? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-24 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-20 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-17 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-17 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-16 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |