peevishbackwater
0xbd08464f951c8f02532c67353e5c1d4a0dbf09dc
- Realised P&L
- $-109.88
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $15.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.97at 0.301US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$19.29at 0.357Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
- +$15.48at 0.150US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$2.54at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$2.18at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0329999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:42 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | BUY | 0.0947867299 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 19:32 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.00 |
| 05-11 19:28 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0118929633 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 00:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0290000002 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 00:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.59 |
| 04-26 02:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 02:25 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 02:24 | Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.54 |
| 04-26 02:24 | Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 04-26 02:24 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.44 |
| 04-26 02:24 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0020486808 | $1.26 |
| 04-26 02:23 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0053357291 | $2.62 |
| 04-26 02:23 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 02:22 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.45 |