PolyBot

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Traders

peevishbackwater

0xbd08464f951c8f02532c67353e5c1d4a0dbf09dc

Realised P&L
$-109.88
Volume
$32.2k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$15.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0330.029$8.64−$1.36
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.0950.055$5.80−$4.20
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.034$1.00−$4.00
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$15.82
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$2.59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$2.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 13:43Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0329999999$10.00
09-30 13:42Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.0947867299$10.00
05-11 19:32Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?BUY0.027$4.00
05-11 19:28Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?BUY0.0118929633$5.00
05-06 00:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.0290000002$5.00
05-06 00:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.01$2.59
04-26 02:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$5.00
04-26 02:25Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$5.00
04-26 02:24Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$2.54
04-26 02:24Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$1.50
04-26 02:24Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$3.44
04-26 02:24Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.0020486808$1.26
04-26 02:23Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0053357291$2.62
04-26 02:23Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.005$5.00
04-26 02:22Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.007$1.45