Foratata
0xbd013386f7a70b5dee398029ebb5f050132fd8cd
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $276.9k
- Markets traded
- 6,537
- Open portfolio
- $426.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,537
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$917.75at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 1?
- +$92.22at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?
- +$78.79at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18?
- +$76.45at 0.868Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 20?
- +$58.81at 0.760Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $34.62 |
| 08-04 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.81 |
| 08-04 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.81 |
| 08-04 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.52 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 41°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.81 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 08-04 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.38 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.86 | $65.28 |
| 08-04 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.32 |
| 08-04 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.62 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $23.39 |
| 08-04 15:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |