MonkeyBrains123
0xbcf96b9cf8335f23d6c0904dea605dd144179b13
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $314.8k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.64at 0.213Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$693.85at 0.213Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$603.76at 0.098GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
- +$501.09at 0.966Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$458.72at 0.292Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 23:27 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $638.29 |
| 10-25 21:11 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 21:11 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0094 | $0.21 |
| 10-25 19:35 | Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.082 | $4.10 |
| 10-25 19:35 | Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.851 | $25.53 |
| 10-25 19:34 | Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.839 | $25.17 |
| 10-25 19:34 | Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.851 | $25.53 |
| 10-25 19:19 | Will Colorado be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.36 |
| 10-25 19:18 | Will New Mexico be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.36 |
| 10-25 19:18 | Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 10-25 19:17 | Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.28 |
| 10-25 02:05 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election? | BUY | 0.97725 | $58.63 |
| 10-23 18:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $190.00 |
| 10-23 18:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.189308 | $94.65 |
| 10-23 17:55 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $290.70 |