PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MonkeyBrains123

0xbcf96b9cf8335f23d6c0904dea605dd144179b13

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$314.8k
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9640.980$1.9k+$30.72
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9650.983$329.80+$5.87
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8200.815$326.00−$2.00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9300.960$153.58+$4.74
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0790.125$87.50+$32.20
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? · Yes0.3740.474$62.15+$13.12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election? · No0.9770.983$58.98+$0.34
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1350.075$41.25−$33.14
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.2360.155$29.48−$15.36
Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8510.914$27.43+$1.91
Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8510.861$25.83+$0.30
Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8390.848$25.43+$0.26
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? · No0.0030.193$16.76+$16.47
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.1890.021$10.75−$83.90
Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0820.101$5.05+$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 23:27Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.967$638.29
10-25 21:11Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.005$1.00
10-25 21:11Will Project Hail Mary win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0094$0.21
10-25 19:35Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.082$4.10
10-25 19:35Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.851$25.53
10-25 19:34Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.839$25.17
10-25 19:34Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.851$25.53
10-25 19:19Will Colorado be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.002$0.36
10-25 19:18Will New Mexico be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.002$0.36
10-25 19:18Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.002$0.30
10-25 19:17Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.002$0.28
10-25 02:05Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election?BUY0.97725$58.63
10-23 18:22NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.38$190.00
10-23 18:22NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?BUY0.189308$94.65
10-23 17:55Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.969$290.70