MonkeyBrains123
0xbcf96b9cf8335f23d6c0904dea605dd144179b13
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $276.2k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $12.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.64at 0.213Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$693.85at 0.213Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$603.76at 0.098GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
- +$501.09at 0.966Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$458.72at 0.292Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 09-09 10:05 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 09-06 02:22 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 09-04 21:07 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-04 20:06 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 09-04 02:17 | 151 Ultra-Premium Collection Price Over/Under $932.29 on August 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.99 |
| 09-04 01:52 | Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 09-04 01:51 | Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.25 |
| 09-04 01:50 | Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 09-04 00:42 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 09-04 00:41 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 09-04 00:39 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.99083 | $99.08 |
| 09-04 00:33 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 09-03 22:44 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.64 |
| 09-03 20:53 | Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |