bqy0301
0xbcf51140fd48e69c6e6d4bd09d38a629059856a1
- Realised P&L
- $387.48
- Volume
- $37.2k
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $6.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.121 | $6.35 | +$2.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.57 |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers · Warriors | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.69at 0.021Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$49.09at 0.248Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
- +$48.73at 0.303Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$44.92at 0.146Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
- +$42.60at 0.128Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0800470585 | $4.20 |
| 10-08 06:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.079 | $3.95 |
| 10-08 06:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.11 |
| 10-08 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 03:54 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.3310365433 | $5.85 |
| 10-08 03:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 03:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $10.43 |
| 06-15 22:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 06-15 22:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.83 |
| 06-14 00:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.439999993 | $12.57 |
| 06-14 00:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999853 | $12.28 |
| 06-14 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $14.83 |
| 06-14 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $8.60 |
| 06-13 09:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999891 | $14.51 |
| 06-13 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $10.14 |