Celeste.
0xbcf3c46ef6c0b078438d32ee5c3176439f09fc33
- Realised P&L
- $-13.37
- Volume
- $195.15
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No | 0.180 | 0.175 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.040 | $1.22 | −$0.78 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs For Fun v4 (BO1) - NSTLGA League Group Stage · For Fun v4 | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · Vitality | 0.423 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · Vitality | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.510Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
- +$1.44at 0.779Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- +$1.30at 0.701Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$1.23at 0.661Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
- +$-0.06at 0.073Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:07 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.57 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 16:37 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 18:48 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.93 | $4.29 |
| 10-04 18:13 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 21:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:20 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.7699999399 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 16:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 13:25 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | SELL | 0.0744760238 | $2.13 |
| 09-20 13:20 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 13:10 | Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 16:13 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.5099999832 | $9.73 |
| 09-07 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $1.23 |
| 09-05 17:46 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |