PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Celeste.

0xbcf3c46ef6c0b078438d32ee5c3176439f09fc33

Realised P&L
$-13.37
Volume
$195.15
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$3.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.1800.175$1.94−$0.06
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? · Yes0.0650.040$1.22−$0.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · Team Falcons0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs For Fun v4 (BO1) - NSTLGA League Group Stage · For Fun v40.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · Vitality0.4230.000$0.00−$7.00
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · Vitality0.5100.000$0.00−$9.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$1.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 18:07Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.57$2.00
10-05 17:29Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.3899999337$2.00
10-05 16:37Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.5599999642$5.00
10-04 18:48Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.93$4.29
10-04 18:13Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.6499999458$3.00
09-27 21:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-27 21:20Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.1799999856$2.00
09-20 16:30Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.7699999399$5.00
09-20 16:01Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.6899999425$3.00
09-20 13:25Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsSELL0.0744760238$2.13
09-20 13:20Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.069999999$2.00
09-20 13:10Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? BUY0.0649999995$2.00
09-19 16:13Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.5099999832$9.73
09-07 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.24$1.23
09-05 17:46Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsBUY0.3399999694$4.00