PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBCf0E59D9B118ED784FbA2Ab60a727Ea45270901-1781748723399

0xbcf0e59d9b118ed784fba2ab60a727ea45270901

Realised P&L
$-168.12
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$4.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 06:01Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 21?BUY0.65$3.38
10-20 03:26Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?SELL0.999$4.65
10-19 10:34Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?BUY0.8599999957$4.00
10-19 10:33Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 20?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-19 10:33Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 20?BUY0.0549925939$5.00
10-19 10:24Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?SELL0.998$14.67
10-18 14:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?BUY0.339999985$5.00
10-18 14:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.1174835024$5.00
10-18 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-18 13:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.18$10.80
10-16 10:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.6199999628$5.00
10-16 09:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-16 09:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.9699998448$5.00
10-15 07:59Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 16?BUY0.2593516197$20.00
10-15 07:59Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 16?BUY0.297504796$20.00