liqrrush
0xbcebdbb0b73be72a14c54c8c311b7bc60a642d90
- Realised P&L
- $-442.79
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $14.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.225 | $6.66 | −$3.70 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.061 | $3.69 | −$4.14 |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.100 | $3.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.105 | $0.63 | −$0.45 |
| Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.003 | $0.03 | −$3.08 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.89 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · KT Rolster | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.30 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.89 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.60at 0.048Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
- +$4.37at 0.642LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner
- +$3.29at 0.325Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
- +$1.50at 0.640Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$0.60at 0.790AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 00:55 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 09-08 00:48 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 09-08 00:44 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.54 |
| 09-08 00:40 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.60 |
| 09-08 00:28 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 00:25 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.16 |
| 09-08 00:21 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.24 |
| 09-08 00:15 | Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.79 |
| 09-07 19:57 | Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.29 |
| 09-07 19:57 | Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.42 |
| 09-07 19:15 | Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.90 |
| 09-07 18:50 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.26 |
| 09-07 18:38 | Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.02 |
| 09-07 18:01 | Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.76 |
| 09-07 18:00 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $6.67 |