PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mu.

0xbce94882859ec6ebdb8aa0d9b2e0be8d51fc4654

Realised P&L
$1.58
Volume
$319.36
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$5.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1PM ET · Down0.3290.979$5.95+$3.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ET · Down0.2860.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6AM ET · Up0.3150.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET · Down0.0890.000$0.00−$2.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ET · Up0.3520.000$0.00−$1.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET · Up0.1720.000$0.00−$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 18:09Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
11-02 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
11-02 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12PM ETBUY0.0033949229$1.00
11-02 17:38Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12PM ETSELL0.03$0.46
11-02 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12PM ETBUY0.08$1.00
11-02 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12PM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
11-02 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
11-02 16:44Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ETSELL0.54$1.10
11-02 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ETSELL0.41$1.39
11-02 16:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
11-02 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
11-02 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ETBUY0.5199999792$1.00
11-02 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ETSELL0.88$0.57
11-02 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ETSELL0.92$0.99
11-02 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ETSELL0.68$1.22