0xbce9322d9a0251cf9a3577c02927ab69cf6b97bf
0xbce9322d9a0251cf9a3577c02927ab69cf6b97bf
- Realised P&L
- $80.30
- Volume
- $174.66
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $121.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar46.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi vs. Norrie: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.490 | $49.00 | −$1.00 |
| Patriots vs. Bears · Patriots | 0.500 | 0.395 | $48.17 | −$12.80 |
| Bonzi vs. Norrie: Match O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.420 | $23.86 | −$4.55 |
| Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones · Emerson Jones | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.43 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.82 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.17 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar · Taylor Fritz | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · Hawai'i | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.64 |
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Billy Harris vs Felix Balshaw · Billy Harris | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.98 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer · Elias Ymer | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.94 |
| Spread: Liberty (-3.5) · Coastal Carolina | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.83 |
| Eagles Team Total: O/U 20.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.06 |
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.54 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford · Georgia Tech | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.87 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.59at 0.500Bills vs. Rams
- +$55.86at 0.500Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$40.54at 0.50049ers vs. Seahawks
- +$35.21at 0.500Bills vs. Raiders
- +$18.44at 0.479Chargers vs. Bills
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:46 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 0.48 | $5.88 |
| 09-25 13:59 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | BUY | 0.5499999986 | $19.64 |