cvca
0xbce72e7f2d0f947bfdd518deefebd6bc92c6e25d
- Realised P&L
- $-99.34
- Volume
- $110.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $190.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.950 | $190.00 | +$36.00 |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.32at 0.190Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$10.50at 0.860Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$7.53at 0.930Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
- +$2.08at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$1.21at 0.890Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 07:47 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 10-22 07:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 10-22 07:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 08-11 10:13 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 08-11 10:13 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-11 10:11 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $139.50 |
| 06-25 08:10 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $18.03 |
| 06-20 06:25 | Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 04-09 07:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $16.64 |
| 03-28 03:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $27.73 |
| 02-28 11:33 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $129.00 |
| 02-28 11:32 | Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.003 | $17.46 |
| 02-28 11:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $42.00 |
| 01-31 11:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $55.20 |
| 01-31 11:36 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $28.01 |