wheelermelissa
0xbce673d5202db4926be60749515ca39e6b285d71
- Realised P&L
- $3.28
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $130.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.975 | $109.25 | +$3.25 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No | 0.996 | 0.957 | $21.52 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.32at 0.966Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$1.27at 0.620Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
- +$1.04at 0.977Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.86at 0.750Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.76at 0.983Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:04 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.41 |
| 08-26 18:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999626 | $22.68 |
| 07-28 10:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.01 |
| 07-12 20:16 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999999 | $106.00 |
| 05-11 15:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9647760221 | $123.09 |
| 04-20 14:25 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.7699999244 | $2.24 |
| 04-20 12:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.04 |
| 04-16 09:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.44 |
| 04-09 15:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.9989999873 | $74.96 |
| 04-09 12:18 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | BUY | 0.8599999494 | $2.04 |
| 04-02 20:45 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.02 |
| 04-02 17:46 | Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.26 |
| 04-02 16:11 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.59 |
| 04-02 15:06 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999538 | $1.17 |
| 04-02 14:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.982 | $42.91 |