2202185863
0xbce1a947c7fce0c4ce22582c9b977fdd45434008
- Realised P&L
- $-80.87
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $52.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.88at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$1.71at 0.994US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$1.46at 0.583Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
- +$1.35at 0.602Will France win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.21at 0.457Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:55 | Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.00 |
| 09-09 04:46 | Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $53.00 |
| 08-22 06:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 06:22 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.9933579882 | $20.15 |
| 08-12 04:41 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 08-12 04:41 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 04:40 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 07-25 08:12 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 07-25 08:11 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9939999171 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 08:11 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999808 | $11.00 |
| 07-25 08:11 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-25 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 08:31 | Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 08:30 | Athens Open: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Lilli Tagger | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 08:30 | Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo | BUY | 0.5709999132 | $2.00 |