PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2202185863

0xbce1a947c7fce0c4ce22582c9b977fdd45434008

Realised P&L
$-80.87
Volume
$26.1k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$52.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · No0.9990.999$50.97−$0.03
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9981.000$1.05+$0.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6920.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-06-06? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$10.00
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$14.00
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar · Jaume Munar0.7900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$24.00
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia · Bahrain0.8300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea · Carmen Andreea Herea0.8200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 07:55Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.999$51.00
09-09 04:46Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?BUY0.9879999999$53.00
08-22 06:23Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August?BUY0.999$20.00
08-22 06:22Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.9933579882$20.15
08-12 04:41Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.998$22.00
08-12 04:41Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$15.00
08-12 04:40Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.999$17.00
07-25 08:12Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.998$11.00
07-25 08:11Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9939999171$10.00
07-25 08:11Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9929999808$11.00
07-25 08:11Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$11.00
07-25 08:10Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?BUY0.999$10.00
07-13 08:31Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-13 08:30Athens Open: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Lilli TaggerBUY0.9739999922$2.00
07-13 08:30Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes TormoBUY0.5709999132$2.00