PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AutoOdds

0xbcd671efdc5dd18016e7577c8f05e2db8452f3c8

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$207.0k
Markets traded
1,986
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,986
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8400.855$476.64+$8.36
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August? · Yes0.8600.962$252.50+$26.65
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.8200.915$249.13+$25.87
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.8000.743$246.65$18.92
Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.5600.750$234.79+$59.48
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.7400.900$219.06+$38.94
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.460$209.76+$22.80
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? · No0.6800.800$201.91+$30.29
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8000.810$173.19+$2.14
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.3700.925$159.51+$95.70
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5700.735$155.82+$34.98
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.8600.834$143.77$4.57
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.6800.830$131.85+$23.83
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs · Zeu5 Esports0.8100.835$129.82+$3.89
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8500.957$129.63+$14.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:13Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)BUY0.68$21.99
08-03 01:20Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.2500793651$12.60
08-02 23:56Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.57$3.37
08-02 23:43LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsBUY0.81$12.17
08-02 22:34Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.35$4.68
08-02 22:29LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.67$4.11
08-02 22:22LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7$75.85
08-02 22:08Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.56$2.31
08-02 22:08Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.21$2.09
08-02 22:08Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.8$20.16
08-02 21:58LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.63$7.77
08-02 21:04Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.85$209.30
08-02 20:33LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupBUY0.73$4.98
08-02 20:14Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.42$5.83
08-02 19:57Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.8$299.98