PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbcd3b0e66e816eee43c99c0b239c436df30b8a0c

Realised P&L
$-5.14
Volume
$42.32
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$3.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7200.994$1.38+$0.38
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7800.910$1.17+$0.17
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7900.765$0.97$0.03
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.2100.013$0.06$0.94
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.7500.007$0.01$0.99
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.4100.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:46Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-15 23:45Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-14 23:41Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 15:40Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-14 07:39Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-13 23:37Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-13 23:22Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-11 15:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-11 05:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-11 02:29SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-10 18:06Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-10 08:14S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-09 22:31Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-09 13:13Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-09 01:48Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00