0xbcd3b0e66e816eee43c99c0b239c436df30b8a0c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.14
- Volume
- $42.32
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.994 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.910 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.765 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.013 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.007 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$0.65at 0.610Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.56at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.30at 0.773LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:46 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:45 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:39 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:37 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:22 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 05:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:29 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:06 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:31 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:13 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 01:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |