765ryth
0xbcd0bf0519f5c33bbfa687be059840de28f54e2d
- Realised P&L
- $-33.06
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $7.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $7.13 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa · Tulsa | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5? · No | 0.973 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?
- +$1.02at 0.959Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 3?
- +$0.43at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 24?
- +$0.32at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 11?
- +$0.29at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 02:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.14 |
| 10-04 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.973 | $9.56 |
| 09-27 15:35 | North Texas vs. Tulsa | BUY | 0.53 | $3.23 |
| 07-06 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.77 |
| 07-01 01:56 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on July 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.85 |
| 06-23 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $14.55 |
| 06-15 04:54 | Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9947647059 | $16.91 |
| 06-10 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 06-02 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.957 | $23.93 |
| 05-28 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.93 |