scimmi0ne1
0xbcd02fca08afee5aee747a6407f37fc2544ab52f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $115.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,820
- Open portfolio
- $112.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,820
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.16at 0.352Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
- +$223.54at 0.630Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$147.99at 0.045Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?
- +$146.74at 0.166Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23?
- +$138.50at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.4549579979 | $26.00 |
| 10-04 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-04 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.96 |
| 10-04 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.0087257824 | $0.35 |
| 10-04 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or higher on October 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 10-04 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.56 |
| 10-04 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.82 |
| 10-04 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or higher on October 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 10-04 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0188333333 | $0.56 |
| 10-04 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-04 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.32 |
| 10-04 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.89 |
| 10-04 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0682476809 | $2.21 |
| 10-04 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0381443299 | $1.85 |
| 10-04 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.059375 | $0.95 |