MyLossIsYourGain
0xbccd67ac3012f2bd536fae71adfd211ff2fac5e5
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $203.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.075 | $203.15 | −$755.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.382Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.2kat 0.224Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?
- +$1.9kat 0.420Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$1.2kat 0.469Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$1.0kat 0.319Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 21:21 | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.969 | $177.36 |
| 03-01 21:19 | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.968 | $66.50 |
| 02-27 18:27 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $243.86 |
| 02-27 17:00 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $234.73 |
| 02-27 16:58 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.25996921 | $234.72 |
| 02-02 18:00 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $172.87 |
| 02-02 18:00 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $172.87 |
| 02-02 17:59 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $172.87 |
| 02-02 17:58 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $172.87 |
| 01-31 04:05 | US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $188.28 |
| 01-30 16:52 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.992 | $356.39 |
| 01-30 06:34 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.94 | $144.00 |
| 01-30 01:28 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.88 | $121.65 |
| 01-30 00:19 | US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7405118042 | $128.92 |
| 01-27 01:21 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $252.19 |