DumbToSmart
0xbcc3e6e596e37279103d1b4873264fca7d05f32d
- Realised P&L
- $-36.6k
- Volume
- $165.8k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.080 | $7.3k | −$11.1k |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.0k |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$590.21 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 09:54 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0652010058 | $590.22 |
| 09-05 21:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2007283817 | $18.3k |
| 10-22 16:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3555774976 | $10.0k |
| 10-19 11:22 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.401 | $15.0k |
| 10-19 11:19 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4009999085 | $0.99 |