trump003
0xbcbd901d7fd06c5749ff1ebaed1ffd6836cb618d
- Realised P&L
- $824.40
- Volume
- $161.9k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.83 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · LYON | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.49 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · T1 | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.03 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · LGD Gaming | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · FURIA Esports | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In · Team Liquid | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$370.00at 0.260LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
- +$326.98at 0.455LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$302.86at 0.050LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$28.65at 0.710Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
- +$26.99at 0.360Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:37 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.60 |
| 10-30 11:36 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu | BUY | 0.68 | $8.83 |
| 10-30 11:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $233.80 |
| 09-28 17:14 | Will Solana reach $180 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.74 |
| 09-28 17:11 | Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan | BUY | 0.86 | $16.17 |
| 08-22 03:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $176.47 |
| 08-22 03:56 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $58.34 |
| 08-22 03:54 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.20 |
| 08-22 03:52 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $28.44 |
| 07-06 05:18 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.45 | $30.06 |
| 07-06 04:32 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $273.24 |
| 07-05 07:04 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.09 | $12.28 |
| 07-05 05:59 | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.7597520248 | $151.97 |
| 07-04 08:35 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.67 | $223.11 |
| 07-04 07:02 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |