PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kaddir

0xbcb2189d13b8c1179bb103c13d6cc1544565d290

Realised P&L
$-213.35
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$52.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.6600.675$30.68+$0.68
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2600.190$21.92$8.08
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$50.40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$2.20
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in March? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$99.00
Will Solana hit $210 in March? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$101.20
US national XRP reserve in 2025? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00$45.00
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$73.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:38Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2599999986$30.00
09-16 09:36Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.6599999991$30.00
03-07 07:29US national XRP reserve in 2025?BUY0.2931640621$45.00
03-03 16:15Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?BUY0.022$0.48
03-02 21:02Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?BUY0.14$50.40
03-02 18:01Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in March?BUY0.22$42.90
03-02 18:00Will Solana hit $210 in March?BUY0.46$9.66
03-02 17:57Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?SELL0.002$1.81
03-02 17:56Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?SELL0.991$431.29
02-23 19:25Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.09$23.20
02-23 18:01Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.3099999968$50.00
02-23 18:00Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.007$4.00
02-23 17:59Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.6414473683$60.00
02-23 17:57Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.609999994$80.00
02-23 17:53Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.3799999985$80.00