Stex
0xbcaa145065d6c8626643855e5e148b2f30f06477
- Realised P&L
- $-584.31
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $270.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.129 | $270.99 | −$229.01 |
| Ravens vs. Vikings · Vikings | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.65 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$527.08at 0.524Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
- +$0.88at 0.930Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$-5.00at 0.047Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
- +$-9.00at 0.300Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:59 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 06:38 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2517589234 | $300.00 |
| 10-30 17:14 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $19.14 |
| 05-17 21:48 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 02-23 16:00 | Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BUY | 0.0473372781 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 15:58 | FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BUY | 0.38 | $304.00 |
| 02-21 16:38 | FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BUY | 0.37 | $24.83 |
| 02-21 16:37 | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | SELL | 0.971 | $20.88 |
| 02-18 12:58 | FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BUY | 0.2899999961 | $50.00 |
| 02-12 13:21 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 02-12 13:05 | FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 02-12 12:39 | Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 02-12 08:41 | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |