PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Stex

0xbcaa145065d6c8626643855e5e148b2f30f06477

Realised P&L
$-584.31
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$270.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.2380.129$270.99−$229.01
Ravens vs. Vikings · Vikings0.1500.000$0.00−$90.00
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00−$221.65
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$275.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 12:59Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.2199999998$200.00
09-22 06:38Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.2517589234$300.00
10-30 17:14Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.055$19.14
05-17 21:48Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?BUY0.43$8.60
02-23 16:00Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? BUY0.0473372781$5.00
02-23 15:58FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? BUY0.38$304.00
02-21 16:38FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? BUY0.37$24.83
02-21 16:37Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?SELL0.971$20.88
02-18 12:58FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? BUY0.2899999961$50.00
02-12 13:21Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?BUY0.3$9.00
02-12 13:05FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? BUY0.28$14.00
02-12 12:39Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?BUY0.002$1.00
02-12 08:41Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?BUY0.9299999986$20.00